[Coda]

I'm not so much handwaving it as fast-forwarding past it. Disruptive technologies are disruptive, yeah. That's why they're called that. But they don't have a lasting impact.

Furthermore, they take time to spread through the market. People who are paying attention will start preparing for it early, and the last MAJOR disruptive technology (the Internet itself) didn't start having a significant impact on the job market for a couple decades.

And AI is going to be another slow-moving market, because the applications it's good at aren't the kinds of applications humans are good at anyway. They're not going to be taking away all that many jobs because the things they're best applied to are the things that people don't hire humans for anyway. Data entry is one role that would count as a place where AI competes with human workers, but frankly that damage is already done and we're not going to see it displace many more jobs than it already has in that field.

Regarding training: The entire point of technology is to make people able to work more efficiently. Applications of technology used to help the humans do THEIR jobs make those jobs more valuable. Cashiers became more valuable with computerized cash registers and laser barcode scanners, making it possible for supermarkets to hire dozens of cashiers because the demand for them was INCREASED by the technology. It's only been in the last couple years that self-checkout has started displacing that job role.

In my estimation, electric cars are going to be a bigger problem than AI when it comes to market effects -- they're popular and growing rapidly, but the support technologies for them are lagging way behind and the maintenance skills are pretty significantly different.