[Coda]

Originally Posted by hyjin

@coda I get it to the smallest circle possible. They break out every time.

Confirmation bias. They don't break EVERY time, but you get more upset when they do. It's easy to fall prey to superstition -- "oh, I caught something, so the last time I must have done something right!" but then when those things you think are supposed to work don't result in a caught Pokemon the same mental bias goes "I didn't catch it, so it must not work!"

Catching Pokemon is, at its core, random. Things you do only influence the randomness. It's been verified by decompiling the code and by statements from Niantic that Nice/Great/Excellent throws increase catch rate, that curveballs increase catch rate, that smaller inner circles increase catch rate, that better balls increase catch rate, that higher Pokemon levels decrease catch rate, and that rarer Pokemon and evolved Pokemon have fundamentally lower catch rates. But even a 10CP Pidgey with a perfect throw doesn't have a 100% catch rate, so sometimes it's just not going to work.